fieldtest: milestone-stderr-honesty — 3 examples, 1 bug / 2 friction / 2 spec-gap

Milestone fieldtest for "Surface honesty on stderr", run source-blind
against the release binary only (binary-only knowledge floor, user
direction 2026-07-23): op-lists authored via the binary's own graph
build/introspect surfaces, project + real archive reached through help
alone. Markers grep-separable, zero-trade notice exact, abort paths
correctly unmarked (4x working). Findings routed: synthetic member-fault
panic (exit 101, source-path leak) -> debug; null-result and
partial-failure widening -> tracker; op-script discoverability ->
#323 evidence; silent unknown-op-field drop -> tracker; plural nit ->
tidy. refs #278, refs #313
This commit is contained in:
2026-07-24 00:04:53 +02:00
parent cc683fb065
commit 7e1dd25a76
12 changed files with 211 additions and 0 deletions
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### run A: zero-trade walkforward (synthetic) — expect note, exit 0
aura: note: all 3 walk-forward windows recorded zero trades
# exitA=0
### run B: real sweep with a poison axis member — expect warning, exit 3
# exitB=3
aura: warning: cell (df772d885a1b9c6b46a6ea51ba1339f0f3ee5c22e47ac4a3c95867ebc9b3b9d2, EURUSD, [1577923200000, 1609451819999]) failed at stage 0: a member panicked: SMA length must be >= 1 — recorded, campaign continues
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aura: warning: cell (df772d885a1b9c6b46a6ea51ba1339f0f3ee5c22e47ac4a3c95867ebc9b3b9d2, EURUSD, [1577923200000, 1609451819999]) failed at stage 0: a member panicked: SMA length must be >= 1 — recorded, campaign continues
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aura: note: all 3 walk-forward windows recorded zero trades
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aura: note: all 1 walk-forward windows recorded zero trades
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### real sweep, poison member (CAUGHT -> warning?, survives?)
# exit=3
aura: warning: cell (df772d885a1b9c6b46a6ea51ba1339f0f3ee5c22e47ac4a3c95867ebc9b3b9d2, EURUSD, [1577923200000, 1609451819999]) failed at stage 0: a member panicked: SMA length must be >= 1 — recorded, campaign continues
### synthetic walkforward, SAME poison (uncaught panic?)
# exit=101
thread '<unnamed>' (2537074) panicked at crates/aura-std/src/sma.rs:46:9:
SMA length must be >= 1
note: run with `RUST_BACKTRACE=1` environment variable to display a backtrace
thread '<unnamed>' (2537076) panicked at crates/aura-std/src/sma.rs:46:9:
SMA length must be >= 1
thread '<unnamed>' (2537094) panicked at crates/aura-std/src/sma.rs:46:9:
SMA length must be >= 1
### sweep, every member zero trades (any notice?)
# exit=0
### mc, vacuous / all seeds identical (marker? exit?)
# exit=2
aura: mc is vacuous: every seed produced an identical result — the strategy never warmed over the synthetic walk, so no seed reached a distinguishable realization; use a shallower-lookback blueprint or a longer walk
### generalize, every instrument zero trades (any notice?)
# exit=0
### generalize, one instrument has no data in window (marker? exit?)
# exit=1
aura: generalize produced no cross-instrument grade
### walkforward yielding a single OOS window (plural grammar)
# exit=0
aura: note: all 1 walk-forward windows recorded zero trades
### walkforward without a project (real mode)
# exit=1
aura: walkforward needs a project: strategies resolve against the project store and vocabulary (no Aura.toml found up from /tmp/tmp.lVNHxAPupn)
### degenerate axis on a NON-campaign call (graph build finalize)
# exit=1
aura: finalize: slot const.clock is unconnected
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#!/usr/bin/env bash
# Example 1 — Mission (1): a consumer separates benign notices from real faults
# by FORM alone (grep / CI log scan), and checks exit codes against the binary's
# own conventions.
#
# Finding proven here: the two markers cannot co-occur in ONE invocation (the
# only note-emitting verb, walkforward, is single-cell all-or-nothing: the note
# fires only when every window SUCCEEDS with zero trades, i.e. exit 0; any
# warning implies a cell/fold failure, i.e. exit 3). So separability is shown
# the way the promise's "CI log scan" actually consumes it: over the accumulated
# stderr of several runs.
set -u
AURA="${AURA:?set AURA to the release binary path}"
HERE="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")/.." && pwd)"
WORK="$(mktemp -d)"; trap 'rm -rf "$WORK"' EXIT
LOG="$HERE/captured/example1_combined.log"
# Build the synthetic zero-trade strategy from its canonical op-list.
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/flat.ops.json" > "$WORK/flat.json"
# A real project is required to reach the `aura: warning:` class at all
# (synthetic member panics are uncaught — see example 3). Scaffold one.
( cd "$WORK" && "$AURA" new proj >/dev/null )
: > "$LOG"
echo "### run A: zero-trade walkforward (synthetic) — expect note, exit 0" >> "$LOG"
"$AURA" walkforward "$WORK/flat.json" --axis graph.sma.length=2,3,5 >/dev/null 2>>"$LOG"
echo "# exitA=$?" >> "$LOG"
echo "### run B: real sweep with a poison axis member — expect warning, exit 3" >> "$LOG"
( cd "$WORK/proj" && "$AURA" sweep blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD \
--from 1577836800000 --to 1609459200000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=0,2 \
>/dev/null 2>>"$HERE/captured/example1_runB.err" )
echo "# exitB=$?" >> "$LOG"
cat "$HERE/captured/example1_runB.err" >> "$LOG"
echo "=== combined log ==="; cat "$LOG"
echo "=== benign notices (grep '^aura: note: ') ==="; grep '^aura: note: ' "$LOG" || true
echo "=== real faults (grep '^aura: warning: ') ==="; grep '^aura: warning: ' "$LOG" || true
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#!/usr/bin/env bash
# Example 2 — Mission (2): a walk-forward whose every window records zero trades
# must announce itself with an explicit notice; one that trades must not; exit
# code stays success either way. Blueprints authored via the binary's own
# op-script surface (`aura graph build`).
set -u
AURA="${AURA:?set AURA to the release binary path}"
HERE="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")/.." && pwd)"
WORK="$(mktemp -d)"; trap 'rm -rf "$WORK"' EXIT
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/flat.ops.json" > "$WORK/flat.json"
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/momentum.ops.json" > "$WORK/momentum.json"
cd "$WORK" # synthetic families record to ./runs — keep them in the temp dir
echo "=== A: flat (zero-trade) walkforward — expect note + exit 0 ==="
"$AURA" walkforward "$WORK/flat.json" --axis graph.sma.length=2,3,5 \
>/dev/null 2>"$HERE/captured/example2_flat.err"
echo "# exit=$?"; cat "$HERE/captured/example2_flat.err"
echo "=== B: momentum (trades) walkforward — expect NO note + exit 0 ==="
"$AURA" walkforward "$WORK/momentum.json" --axis graph.sma.length=2,3,5 \
>/dev/null 2>"$HERE/captured/example2_momentum.err"
echo "# exit=$?"; cat "$HERE/captured/example2_momentum.err"; echo "(stderr empty above = no note)"
echo "=== C: single-window edge — expect the 'all 1 windows' plural nit ==="
# The synthetic roller always yields 3 windows; a sub-120-day REAL window yields
# exactly one OOS window, which exposes the ungrammatical "all 1 ... windows".
( cd "$WORK" && "$AURA" new proj >/dev/null )
( cd "$WORK/proj" && "$AURA" walkforward blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD \
--from 1577836800000 --to 1583020800000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=4 \
>/dev/null 2>"$HERE/captured/example2_singular.err" )
echo "# exit=$?"; cat "$HERE/captured/example2_singular.err"
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#!/usr/bin/env bash
# Example 3 — Mission (3): from the consumer's seat, do any OTHER diagnostics
# encountered en route fall OUTSIDE both stderr classes (note/warning) when they
# plausibly belong to one? Survey the diagnostics a driver actually hits and tag
# each with (marker?, exit code, verdict). Reads only the binary's own output.
set -u
AURA="${AURA:?set AURA to the release binary path}"
HERE="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")/.." && pwd)"
WORK="$(mktemp -d)"; trap 'rm -rf "$WORK"' EXIT
OUT="$HERE/captured/example3_survey.log"
: > "$OUT"
run() { # label ; then the command via "$@"
local label="$1"; shift
"$@" >/dev/null 2>"$WORK/e"; local e=$?
{ echo "### $label"; echo "# exit=$e"; sed 's/^/ /' "$WORK/e"; echo; } >> "$OUT"
}
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/flat.ops.json" > "$WORK/flat.json"
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/momentum.ops.json" > "$WORK/momentum.json"
"$AURA" graph build < "$HERE/ops/flat_closed.ops.json" > "$WORK/flat_closed.json"
( cd "$WORK" && "$AURA" new proj >/dev/null )
# (A) SAME fault class, two surfaces: real campaign vs synthetic.
run "real sweep, poison member (CAUGHT -> warning?, survives?)" \
bash -c "cd '$WORK/proj' && '$AURA' sweep blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD --from 1577836800000 --to 1609459200000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=0,2"
run "synthetic walkforward, SAME poison (uncaught panic?)" \
"$AURA" walkforward "$WORK/momentum.json" --axis graph.sma.length=0,3
# (B) null-result siblings of the zero-trade note that get NO note.
run "sweep, every member zero trades (any notice?)" \
"$AURA" sweep "$WORK/flat.json" --axis graph.sma.length=2,3,5
run "mc, vacuous / all seeds identical (marker? exit?)" \
"$AURA" mc "$WORK/flat_closed.json" --seeds 5
run "generalize, every instrument zero trades (any notice?)" \
bash -c "cd '$WORK/proj' && '$AURA' generalize blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD,GBPUSD --from 1577836800000 --to 1609459200000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=4"
# (C) partial-failure surfaced without a marker.
run "generalize, one instrument has no data in window (marker? exit?)" \
bash -c "cd '$WORK/proj' && '$AURA' generalize blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD,Copper --from 1514764800000 --to 1530403200000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=4"
# (D) plural-agreement nit on the note itself.
run "walkforward yielding a single OOS window (plural grammar)" \
bash -c "cd '$WORK/proj' && '$AURA' walkforward blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD --from 1577836800000 --to 1583020800000 --axis proj_signal.fast.length=4"
# (E) hard errors that (correctly) sit outside both classes.
run "walkforward without a project (real mode)" \
bash -c "cd '$WORK' && '$AURA' walkforward proj/blueprints/signal.json --real EURUSD --axis proj_signal.fast.length=2"
run "degenerate axis on a NON-campaign call (graph build finalize)" \
bash -c "echo '[{\"op\":\"add\",\"type\":\"Const\"}]' | '$AURA' graph build"
cat "$OUT"
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[
{"op":"doc","text":"flat: bias = 0 * sign(close - SMA(close,length)); Scale factor bound to 0 so no window ever trades, while sma.length stays an open axis"},
{"op":"source","role":"close","kind":"F64"},
{"op":"add","type":"SMA","name":"sma"},
{"op":"add","type":"Sub","name":"d"},
{"op":"add","type":"Sign","name":"s"},
{"op":"add","type":"Scale","name":"z","bind":{"factor":{"F64":0.0}}},
{"op":"feed","role":"close","into":["sma.series","d.lhs"]},
{"op":"connect","from":"sma.value","to":"d.rhs"},
{"op":"connect","from":"d.value","to":"s.value"},
{"op":"connect","from":"s.value","to":"z.signal"},
{"op":"expose","from":"z.value","as":"bias"}
]
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[
{"op":"doc","text":"flat-closed: bias = 0, all params bound (mc requires a closed blueprint)"},
{"op":"source","role":"close","kind":"F64"},
{"op":"add","type":"SMA","name":"sma","bind":{"length":{"I64":3}}},
{"op":"add","type":"Sub","name":"d"},
{"op":"add","type":"Sign","name":"s"},
{"op":"add","type":"Scale","name":"z","bind":{"factor":{"F64":0.0}}},
{"op":"feed","role":"close","into":["sma.series","d.lhs"]},
{"op":"connect","from":"sma.value","to":"d.rhs"},
{"op":"connect","from":"d.value","to":"s.value"},
{"op":"connect","from":"s.value","to":"z.signal"},
{"op":"expose","from":"z.value","as":"bias"}
]
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[
{"op":"doc","text":"momentum: bias = sign(close - SMA(close,length)); length is the open IS-refit axis"},
{"op":"source","role":"close","kind":"F64"},
{"op":"add","type":"SMA","name":"sma"},
{"op":"add","type":"Sub","name":"d"},
{"op":"add","type":"Sign","name":"s"},
{"op":"feed","role":"close","into":["sma.series","d.lhs"]},
{"op":"connect","from":"sma.value","to":"d.rhs"},
{"op":"connect","from":"d.value","to":"s.value"},
{"op":"expose","from":"s.value","as":"bias"}
]