research: Arc 1 — trend regime vs H1 breakout, campaign path, results page

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Two std-vocabulary blueprints (bo_h1 donchian-style H1 breakout; bo_h1_trend
adds a post-latch EMA 12/48 regime gate). First real use of the campaign
path: process + campaign documents registered and run as executable intent
(screen 490d14df.., curves da886931.. with persisted taps).

Finding: the gate reshapes the R-distribution per instrument (GER40 flips
sign, EURUSD deteriorates); no deployable edge (best P(E[R]<=0)=0.08,
generalization floor negative, sign agreement 0/4, all gross of costs).

site/: build.py bakes a fully static index.html from the runs/ registry
(aura.css embedded verbatim, inline SVG, zero external requests);
adversarially verified — all baked figures re-derived from the registry.

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Claude

2026-07-13 16:23:51 +02:00

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