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aura-quadriga/research/campaign-arc3-bo-h4-trend.json
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claude de92b4283d research: Arc 3 — six data-only signal families, designed engine-blind
Six confirm/refute families (vol-normalized momentum, mean-reversion
z-fade, vol-regime-gated breakout, H4 EMA trend, H4 breakout port,
channel-position fade) authored by engine-blind agents from a distilled
reference card plus the CLI validation loop, adversarially design-reviewed,
then run over 4 instruments x 3 stop regimes. Five honest nulls; one
candidate (vol-normalized momentum on US500, WF-OOS P<=0.05 in all three
regimes) forwarded to the Arc 4 breadth test.
2026-07-13 18:07:26 +02:00

84 lines
1.7 KiB
JSON

{
"format_version": 1,
"kind": "campaign",
"name": "arc3-bo-h4-trend",
"description": "Arc 3 family bo-h4-trend: Porting the Arc-1 donchian-breakout + EMA(12)/EMA(48) trend-gate pair verbatim from H1 (Resample 60) to H4 (Resample 240) will stabilize the instrument-dependent R-distribution reshaping observed in Arc 1: on coarser 4-hour bars the same channel-breakout-with-trend-confirmation signal should produce a more consistent bias sign and a more uniform per-instrument expectancy across GER40/US500/EURUSD/",
"seed": 0,
"data": {
"instruments": [
"GER40",
"US500",
"EURUSD",
"XAUUSD"
],
"windows": [
{
"from_ms": 1514764800000,
"to_ms": 1782863999999
}
]
},
"risk": [
{
"vol": {
"length": 3,
"k": 2.0
}
},
{
"vol": {
"length": 60,
"k": 6.0
}
},
{
"vol": {
"length": 60,
"k": 12.0
}
}
],
"cost": [
{
"vol_slippage": {
"slip_vol_mult": 0.1
}
}
],
"strategies": [
{
"ref": {
"content_id": "52da5de2d914061bf90a5e3f21caedbe85a4fb84e8056a4e61b535ed7ceb78c3"
},
"axes": {
"channel_hi.length": {
"kind": "I64",
"values": [
12,
24,
48
]
},
"channel_lo.length": {
"kind": "I64",
"values": [
12,
24,
48
]
}
}
}
],
"process": {
"ref": {
"content_id": "41863fcae9300b334056c6f2a899e8c2672ecb29387d294e9a6e58f159ef51b4"
}
},
"presentation": {
"persist_taps": [],
"emit": [
"selection_report"
]
}
}