Commit Graph

8 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Brummel 4928e289f7 feat(project): the project-as-crate load boundary (cycle 0102)
A research project is now a loadable external cdylib crate. Inside a
directory whose ancestry holds an Aura.toml, aura discovers the project
root cargo-style, locates the compiled dylib via cargo metadata (debug
default, --release opt-in), loads it load-and-hold, and refuses
mismatches before trusting anything: the AURA_PROJECT descriptor
(aura-core::project, #[repr(C)]) carries a C-ABI stamp prefix (rustc +
aura-core version, baked per consuming build by the new aura-core
build.rs) validated before any Rust-ABI field is read. The vocabulary
charter gates the merged resolution: project type ids are ::-namespaced
(std stays bare), duplicates refuse, and the enumerable type-id list
must agree with the resolver, so introspection can never silently omit
a project type.

All blueprint verbs resolve through the merged project + std vocabulary
via a per-invocation Env threaded through the dispatch chains;
registry, trace-store, and data paths anchor at the project runs root
(Aura.toml [paths], paths-only by design — instrument geometry stays
the recorded sidecar, C15). RunManifest gains the Tier-1 project
provenance field (namespace + dylib sha256 + best-effort commit),
stamped beside topology_hash on the blueprint-run paths; pre-0102
registry lines load unchanged. Default node names strip the namespace,
so :: never reaches the param-path address space.

Proven by the demo-project fixture (built by the e2e via cargo,
path-dep on this workspace): run twice bit-identical, provenance
recorded, introspection lists demo::* beside std, registry anchors at
the discovered root from a subdirectory; the badcharter fixture proves
the charter refusal through the real libloading path; a never-built
project refuses with a cargo-build hint. Outside a project every path
collapses to the previous literals — goldens and manifest pins
byte-identical.

Verification: cargo build --workspace clean; cargo test --workspace 862
passed / 0 failed (incl. 7 project_load e2e); clippy -D warnings clean
(one precedent-matching allow(too_many_arguments) on run_oos_blueprint,
whose arity the Env threading raised to 8); doc build unchanged.
Docs/ledger aligned: Aura.toml field lists are paths-only in
project-layout.md, glossary, C16/C17; new C13 realization note records
the per-invocation-reload reading and the load-and-hold one-shot scope
boundary.

New deps, per-case review (aura-cli leaf binary only, never the frozen
artifact): libloading, toml.

refs #180
2026-07-02 18:13:37 +02:00
Brummel ff4a1b3d4a feat(0092): run-from-blueprint infrastructure — restructure + topology_hash + shared seam (Tasks 1-3)
Cycle-1 infrastructure for #165 (World/C21). Behaviour-preserving + workspace
green; the CLI arm + tests (Tasks 4-5) follow.

Task 1 — restructured stage1_r_graph into stage1_signal() (the serializable
signal leg: SMA-cross -> Bias, a `price` input-role + a `bias` output) +
wrap_stage1r(signal, ...) (broker/sinks/exec/cost around a nested signal), with
stage1_r_graph() = wrap_stage1r(stage1_signal(...)). DEVIATION from the plan's
"callers untouched" claim, verified behaviour-preserving: nesting the signal
prefixes its param-space names (stage1_signal.fast.length), which broke the
sweep's bare .axis("fast.length"); fixed exactly as the #137 stop-knob machinery
does — FAST_LENGTH_SUFFIX/SLOW_LENGTH_SUFFIX suffix-resolution + stage1_r_friendly_name
arms mapping the prefixed names back to the bare manifest names. All observable
behaviour (manifest names, member keys, metrics, traces) byte-identical; the flat
graph and every metric unchanged (full suite green, incl. sweep/walkforward/MC).

Task 2 — RunManifest.topology_hash: Option<String> (Tier-1 optional, serde
default/skip — old manifests byte-identical, #156), threaded None into all 24
literal sites across 7 crates. Also fixed the aura-registry RunManifestRead
read-mirror to carry topology_hash (it was hardcoding None on load) — else a
stored hash would silently drop on the registry round-trip once Task 3 stores a
real one.

Task 3 — the shared run_signal_stage1r seam (hash the signal, wrap, compile with
params, bootstrap, run, manifest with params from param_space + topology_hash) +
the sha256_hex topology_hash helper (sha2 in aura-cli, off the frozen engine,
invariant 8). run_stage1_r now carries its topology_hash too (every run becomes
self-identifying, #158). The seam is unwired until Task 4 (transient
#[allow(dead_code)], retired there); RED-first seam tests added.

Verified: cargo test --workspace green (51 suites, 0 failures); cargo clippy
--workspace --all-targets -D warnings clean.

refs #165
2026-06-30 20:23:42 +02:00
Brummel 0a06afed29 feat(0078): cross-instrument generalization as a validation step
Last piece of the Inferential-validation milestone (#146): a new
`aura generalize` subcommand grades how consistently a single candidate
holds across a set of instruments — the across-instrument axis of the
same anti-false-discovery concern as trials-deflation (#144, within one
family) and plateau-over-peak (#145, within one instrument's surface).

Aggregator/validator, not a third selector (user-ratified): it runs a
brought candidate (a single-cell stage1-r grid — --fast/--slow/--stop-
length/--stop-k pinned to single values) across an instrument list
(--real SYM1,SYM2,...), collects per-instrument R-metrics, and reduces
them to a worst-case floor (min over instruments) + a sign-agreement
count + the per-instrument breakdown. R-only (C10 — R is the only
account/instrument-agnostic unit); the worst-case min is the cross-
instrument sibling of PlateauMode::Worst and satisfies the non-
domination constraint by construction (a strong instrument cannot lift
a min). Rejected: a cross-instrument t-stat mean/std*sqrt(M), which
reintroduces the pooled mean the milestone warns against.

- RunManifest gains a first-class `instrument` lineage field (serde-
  widened, C14/C18 — legacy lines load as None, existing manifest bytes
  unchanged); the compat read-mirror threads it in lockstep.
- FamilyKind::CrossInstrument (C12 comparison axis); the M per-instrument
  runs persist as a CrossInstrument family, each member self-identifying
  via its stamped instrument. The aggregate is recomputable from the
  members (McAggregate precedent), printed live.
- The generalization reduction lives registry-side beside optimize_
  deflated/optimize_plateau (C9), reusing resolve_metric/metric_value/
  is_r_metric; check_r_metric is the data-free pre-check the CLI runs
  before evaluating any instrument.
- Additive: existing sweep/walkforward/mc/standalone paths stay byte-
  identical (C23 — instrument omitted when None via skip_serializing_if).

Verified by the orchestrator: cargo test --workspace green (0 failed —
the new generalization_*, check_r_metric, parse_generalize_*, and the
gated cross-instrument E2E all pass; the E2E ran the real GER40/USDJPY
path on this host, exit 0); cargo clippy --workspace --all-targets
-D warnings clean.

closes #146
2026-06-26 19:04:53 +02:00
Brummel a2959050a4 feat(0076): deflate the sweep winner's metric for the number of trials
Adds optimize_deflated beside optimize in aura-registry: the in-sample
walk-forward selection now records, on each OOS winner's manifest, how much
the winner's metric is inflated by the size of the search it won — a deflated
score and (R arm) an overfit probability — without changing which member wins
(additive, C23; a regression test pins optimize_deflated's winner == optimize's).

- R arm (sqn_normalized/expectancy_r/...): a centred moving-block reality-check.
  Each member's per-trade R series is mean-subtracted to impose the no-edge null,
  resampled via the r_bootstrap kernel (extracted to a shared resample_block,
  byte-identical), and the best-of-K null-max gives
  overfit_probability = (count(null >= raw)+1)/(n+1) and
  deflated_score = raw - p95(null). Deterministic given the seed (C1).
- total_pips arm: a closed-form expected-max-of-K dispersion floor
  (inv_norm_cdf + expected_max_of_normals), no probability.

The record (FamilySelection on RunManifest) rides the proven
serde(default, skip_serializing_if) widening + a compat.rs mirror, so legacy
runs.jsonl/families.jsonl lines load unchanged and unstamped sweep/mc/standalone
manifests stay byte-identical (C14/C18). The SelectionMode enum reserves a
Plateau slot for #145. CLI: walk-forward stamps both arms; runs family <id> rank
surfaces a human-readable deflated/overfit line.

Quality review (re-dispatched after the implement-loop's quality gate exhausted)
caught a real defect: on the R arm with positive resamples but no member carrying
trade_rs (a family loaded from disk — trade_rs is serde-skipped), the null was
all-NEG_INFINITY, turning deflated_score into +inf. Fixed by collapsing "no usable
null" (zero resamples OR no trade_rs) into one degenerate floor (deflated == raw,
overfit == 1.0); pinned by optimize_deflated_no_trade_rs_floors_instead_of_infinity.

Verified: cargo test --workspace and cargo clippy --workspace --all-targets
-D warnings both green. Frictionless Stage-1 R; n_eff advisory and reload-time
recompute deferred (spec 0076 Out of scope).

closes #144
2026-06-26 14:53:32 +02:00
Brummel e1ad0979de refactor(ger40-examples): source pip from instrument_spec, drop the baked literal
The runnable GER40/FRA40 examples baked `const PIP_SIZE = 1.0` and a dead pip
column in the compare INSTRUMENTS table — a second source of pip truth parallel
to the vetted `aura_ingest::instrument_spec` channel the CLI `--real` path already
uses (#22). Route them all through one `pip_size_of(symbol)` helper: build_harness
sources GER40 internally, ger40_breakout_blueprint gains a `pip_size` first arg fed
from the lookup, and compare's run_cell sources each instrument's pip per cell.

Value-identical (GER40/FRA40 both resolve to 1.0) and behaviour-preserving: the
gated determinism / blueprint param-space / world tests stay green unchanged, and
the frozen `sim-optimal(pip_size=1)` broker-label pins are untouched.

closes #98
2026-06-21 16:41:37 +02:00
Brummel 8c9a1b4630 feat(aura-ingest): consolidate the real-data source-open seam
A real OHLC source now builds from aura-ingest alone, in the engine-native
epoch-ns Timestamp currency, with the one ms<->ns crossing owned by the seam.

Library surface (src/lib.rs), all additive — the ms-based `open` and
`unix_ms_to_epoch_ns` are untouched, so every existing call site is preserved
byte-for-byte:
- epoch_ns_to_unix_ms (private): the seam-owned inverse; consumers never
  convert (#80).
- M1FieldSource::open_window: the Timestamp-window mirror of `open`, mapping
  each bound through the private inverse and delegating to `open`.
- open_ohlc: the canonical OHLC bundle opener — four M1FieldSources in the fixed
  open/high/low/close C4 merge order, sharing one Arc<DataServer> (one cache,
  C12); the order lives in one vetted place (#92).
- default_data_server + `pub use data_server::{DataServer, DEFAULT_DATA_PATH}`:
  a real-data source builds without naming the external data_server crate (#81).

Consumer migration: the shared breakout_real.rs helpers and every GER40
example/test move to the Timestamp-native surface — open_ohlc_sources removed,
utc_month_window_ms -> utc_month_window (Timestamp), report_from_trace retyped,
the per-consumer ns_to_ms hand-divides deleted, the direct data_server imports
replaced by the re-exports. ger40_breakout_compare.rs (which opened OHLC by its
own hand-loop, reached by neither retyped helper) is migrated by inspection.

Return type is Vec, not [_; 4]: Harness::run consumes Vec<Box<dyn Source>>, so
it feeds straight in; order-safety comes from the single helper either way.

Tests: a hermetic round-trip pinning the inverse; a gated behaviour-preservation
test (open_ohlc Timestamp path == ms-path open, bit-identical recorded series);
a hermetic absent-archive fixture pinning the file-level None contract and the
#81 re-export firewall.

Verified: cargo build --workspace --all-targets clean; cargo test --workspace
green (the gated GER40 tests ran against the local archive — open_ohlc_seam
proves byte-identity on real data, not a skip); clippy --all-targets -D warnings
clean. Acceptance greps pass: open_ohlc_sources gone, no consumer-side ns_to_ms,
no data_server import in any migrated GER40 consumer, epoch_ns_to_unix_ms private.

closes #80, #81, #92
2026-06-18 12:59:02 +02:00
Brummel d858caf67b chore: scrub dangling references to deleted specs/plans from sources
docs/specs and docs/plans were retired (prior commit); the source/test
comments that cited them ("spec 0050 §4.1", "spec §Testing N", "per spec",
"the spec's ...") now point at nothing. Strip every such pointer while
preserving the technical substance, the design-ledger contract refs
(C1/C11/C20/C34/C12.1/...), and the Gitea issue refs (#41).

Comment/doc edits only across 20 files — no logic change; full workspace
suite green, clippy clean.
2026-06-18 11:16:28 +02:00
Brummel bbd6738d69 feat(aura-ingest): World-family demos prove the GER40 breakout is World-consumable (spec 0051)
The shipped Composite blueprint (ger40_breakout_blueprint) is now driven by the
World orchestration families on real GER40, with NO re-authoring — the #94
friction is gone:
- examples/ger40_breakout_sweep.rs — sweep the {entry_bar, exit_bar} grid built
  directly from param_space() (best entry=3,exit=4 -> 214.0 over 2024).
- examples/ger40_breakout_walkforward.rs — non-degenerate walk_forward: a real
  non-empty space optimized per window, chosen_params populated everywhere (#97).
- examples/ger40_breakout_compare.rs — one blueprint across two structural axes:
  instrument (GER40 vs FRA40) and bar period (15m vs 30m — different strategies,
  C34), no re-authoring.
- tests/ger40_breakout_world.rs — gated: sweep returns the ranked 9-point grid
  over the two named params; walk_forward yields non-empty windows each with a
  non-empty chosen_params (executable #97 proof).

No blueprint reshape needed — the factory returns a fresh (Composite, Taps) per
call, so the World families re-instantiate per grid point / window (the SMA-cross
pattern); baked recorders do not block multi-bootstrap.

closes #94, closes #96, closes #97
2026-06-17 19:29:39 +02:00