Files
Aura/crates/aura-engine/tests/r_meanrev_e2e.rs
T
claude e84ad6d0d2 feat(aura-market, aura-std, aura-strategy): arg-bearing builders go zero-arg
Session, LinComb, and CostSum — the three builders the roster scope doc
excludes — re-shape onto the args seam (refs #271): builder() is now
zero-arg and returns a pending recipe (Session: tz + open; LinComb:
arity; CostSum: n_costs), the full signature forms in make, and
configured(...) is the Rust-path convenience producing the identical
recipe (twin-pinned). Session's period_minutes becomes a real ParamSpec
bound by configured instead of a baked struct field — same behaviour,
now sweepable when left open. Session::new and SessionFrankfurt are
untouched.

All builder(n)-form call sites move mechanically to configured(n):
aura-runner member.rs (wrap_r), aura-composites (vol_stop/cost_graph),
aura-engine blueprint.rs + e2e tests, aura-ingest breakout example,
and the crates' own tests. aura-std drops its unused chrono/chrono-tz
deps (stale since the b39fd63 session move).

The roster is deliberately untouched here: rostering before the op
seam lands would expose unconfigured pending builders to add_node.
2026-07-24 21:42:50 +02:00

89 lines
5.2 KiB
Rust

//! Mean-reversion signal composition: price -> {Ema mean, Sub dev} -> Mul sq ->
//! Ema var -> Sqrt sigma -> LinComb(k) band -> {Add upper, Sub lower} ->
//! {Gt, Gt} -> {Latch, Latch} -> Sub = bias in {-1,0,+1}. Tests the FADE
//! direction (price above mean+k*sigma -> short -1; below mean-k*sigma -> long
//! +1), the latched hold, and that no fade fires on a flat series. Built
//! straight from aura-std nodes (no CLI dependency); mirrors r_breakout_e2e.
use aura_core::{Scalar, Timestamp};
use aura_engine::{GraphBuilder, Harness, Source, VecSource};
use aura_std::{Add, Ema, Gt, Latch, LinComb, Mul, Recorder, Sqrt, Sub};
use std::sync::mpsc;
// Feed `closes` into the Bollinger-fade signal subgraph (window n, band width k)
// and tap the exposure (bias) through a Recorder. Returns the emitted bias values
// in cycle order.
fn run_meanrev_bias(closes: &[f64], n: i64, k: f64) -> Vec<f64> {
let (tx, rx) = mpsc::channel();
let mut g = GraphBuilder::new("meanrev_sig");
let mean = g.add(Ema::builder().bind("length", Scalar::i64(n)));
let dev = g.add(Sub::builder()); // price - mean
let sq = g.add(Mul::builder()); // dev * dev
let var = g.add(Ema::builder().bind("length", Scalar::i64(n))); // EWMA variance
let sigma = g.add(Sqrt::builder());
let band = g.add(LinComb::configured(1).bind("weights[0]", Scalar::f64(k))); // k*sigma
let upper = g.add(Add::builder()); // mean + k*sigma
let lower = g.add(Sub::builder()); // mean - k*sigma
let gt_hi = g.add(Gt::builder()); // price > upper
let gt_lo = g.add(Gt::builder()); // lower > price
let short_latch = g.add(Latch::builder());
let long_latch = g.add(Latch::builder());
let bias = g.add(Sub::builder()); // long_latch - short_latch
let rec = g.add(Recorder::builder(vec![aura_core::ScalarKind::F64], aura_core::Firing::Any, tx));
let price = g.source_role("price", aura_core::ScalarKind::F64);
g.feed(price, [mean.input("series"), dev.input("lhs"), gt_hi.input("a"), gt_lo.input("b")]);
g.connect(mean.output("value"), dev.input("rhs"));
g.connect(dev.output("value"), sq.input("lhs"));
g.connect(dev.output("value"), sq.input("rhs"));
g.connect(sq.output("value"), var.input("series"));
g.connect(var.output("value"), sigma.input("value"));
g.connect(sigma.output("value"), band.input("term[0]"));
g.connect(mean.output("value"), upper.input("lhs"));
g.connect(band.output("value"), upper.input("rhs"));
g.connect(mean.output("value"), lower.input("lhs"));
g.connect(band.output("value"), lower.input("rhs"));
g.connect(upper.output("value"), gt_hi.input("b"));
g.connect(lower.output("value"), gt_lo.input("a"));
g.connect(gt_hi.output("value"), short_latch.input("set"));
g.connect(gt_lo.output("value"), short_latch.input("reset"));
g.connect(gt_lo.output("value"), long_latch.input("set"));
g.connect(gt_hi.output("value"), long_latch.input("reset"));
g.connect(long_latch.output("value"), bias.input("lhs"));
g.connect(short_latch.output("value"), bias.input("rhs"));
g.connect(bias.output("value"), rec.input("col[0]"));
let flat = g.build().expect("meanrev signal wiring resolves").compile_with_params(&[]).expect("compiles");
let mut h = Harness::bootstrap(flat).expect("bootstraps");
let prices: Vec<(Timestamp, Scalar)> =
closes.iter().enumerate().map(|(i, &c)| (Timestamp(i as i64), Scalar::f64(c))).collect();
let src: Vec<Box<dyn Source>> = vec![Box::new(VecSource::new(prices))];
h.run(src);
rx.try_iter().map(|(_, row): (Timestamp, Vec<Scalar>)| row[0].as_f64()).collect()
}
#[test]
fn meanrev_fades_against_the_move_and_holds_the_latch() {
// k = 0 makes the band collapse to the mean (upper = lower = mean), so the
// fade fires on ANY deviation from the lagging EWMA mean -- isolating the
// direction + latch from the sigma threshold (the k>0 band is exercised by
// the real-data CLI screen). n = 3 -> alpha = 0.5, so the mean lags the level
// clearly. A long calm, then a sustained jump UP, then a sustained drop DOWN.
// calm (price == mean -> no break) | up (price > mean -> SHORT) | down (price < mean -> LONG)
let closes = [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 130.0, 130.0, 130.0, 70.0, 70.0, 70.0];
let bias = run_meanrev_bias(&closes, 3, 0.0);
assert!(!bias.is_empty(), "the signal must emit once warmed up");
assert_eq!(*bias.first().unwrap(), 0.0, "calm bars (price == mean) must not fade; got {bias:?}");
let first_short = bias.iter().position(|&b| b == -1.0).expect("an up-move must fade SHORT (-1)");
let first_long = bias.iter().position(|&b| b == 1.0).expect("a down-move must fade LONG (+1)");
assert!(first_short < first_long, "short (up-fade) must precede long (down-fade); got {bias:?}");
assert_eq!(*bias.last().unwrap(), 1.0, "the down-fade long must hold to the end; got {bias:?}");
}
#[test]
fn meanrev_flat_series_never_fades() {
// A perfectly flat series: dev == 0, sigma == 0, band == mean, so price is
// never strictly beyond the band -> no break ever -> bias pinned at 0.
let bias = run_meanrev_bias(&[100.0; 10], 3, 2.0);
assert!(!bias.is_empty(), "the signal must emit once warmed up");
assert!(bias.iter().all(|&b| b == 0.0), "a flat series must never fade; got {bias:?}");
}