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aura-quadriga/research/campaign-arc3-bo-h1-volregime.json
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claude de92b4283d research: Arc 3 — six data-only signal families, designed engine-blind
Six confirm/refute families (vol-normalized momentum, mean-reversion
z-fade, vol-regime-gated breakout, H4 EMA trend, H4 breakout port,
channel-position fade) authored by engine-blind agents from a distilled
reference card plus the CLI validation loop, adversarially design-reviewed,
then run over 4 instruments x 3 stop regimes. Five honest nulls; one
candidate (vol-normalized momentum on US500, WF-OOS P<=0.05 in all three
regimes) forwarded to the Arc 4 breadth test.
2026-07-13 18:07:26 +02:00

84 lines
1.7 KiB
JSON

{
"format_version": 1,
"kind": "campaign",
"name": "arc3-bo-h1-volregime",
"description": "Arc 3 family bo-h1-volregime: Conditioning the Arc-1 H1 donchian breakout on a volatility-EXPANSION regime reshapes the breakout R-distribution. The base signal is the prev-bar channel breakout (long_latch = Latch(close > prev-bar RollingMax, close < prev-bar RollingMin), short_latch the mirror). The regime is non-directional: on H1 returns r = close \u2212 Delay(close,1), vol_short = Sqrt(SMA(r\u00b2, Ls)) and vol_long = Sqrt(SMA(r\u00b2, L",
"seed": 0,
"data": {
"instruments": [
"GER40",
"US500",
"EURUSD",
"XAUUSD"
],
"windows": [
{
"from_ms": 1514764800000,
"to_ms": 1782863999999
}
]
},
"risk": [
{
"vol": {
"length": 3,
"k": 2.0
}
},
{
"vol": {
"length": 60,
"k": 6.0
}
},
{
"vol": {
"length": 60,
"k": 12.0
}
}
],
"cost": [
{
"vol_slippage": {
"slip_vol_mult": 0.1
}
}
],
"strategies": [
{
"ref": {
"content_id": "f878dc0f0837bad88585286f709f55ad5058c7948554a136e544397ca3f43a59"
},
"axes": {
"channel_length": {
"kind": "I64",
"values": [
24,
48,
96
]
},
"vol_long.length": {
"kind": "I64",
"values": [
48,
96,
192
]
}
}
}
],
"process": {
"ref": {
"content_id": "41863fcae9300b334056c6f2a899e8c2672ecb29387d294e9a6e58f159ef51b4"
}
},
"presentation": {
"persist_taps": [],
"emit": [
"selection_report"
]
}
}