Brummel
2c43296c2c
Iteration 1 of the Stage-1 "R-based signal quality" cycle (spec 0065): a strategy's signal quality, measured in R on its unsized bias stream, feed-forward. New discrete-trade machinery, NOT a SimBroker extension. What lands: - exposure -> bias (refs #126): the Exposure node/type/file/output-field renamed to Bias (computation unchanged: clamp(signal/scale,-1,+1); the SEMANTICS change — the output is the unsized strategy bias, sizing leaves the strategy). Scoped to the semantic core; behaviour-preserving cosmetics are deferred (see below). - stop-rule nodes (refs #119): VolStop = k*EMA(|price - prev_price|) (one fused node; the volatility that defines 1R, close-to-close — true-range ATR deferred, needs OHLC) + FixedStop (constant, the test fixture / fixed-vs-vol structural-axis sibling). - PositionManagement (refs #127): the stateful heart. Latches the entry-cycle stop distance as the FROZEN R-denominator (never re-read), marks/exits no-look-ahead like SimBroker (a position earns from the next cycle; an exit realises against the cycle's close), and emits ONE dense per-cycle R-record (C8). Stop-outs are NOT capped at -1R (a gap through the stop realises R < -1 — the honest loss tail); R is computed size-invariantly (size = (exit-entry)*dir / latched_dist cancels). The trade ledger is the rows where closed_this_cycle; the R-equity is cum_realized + unrealized; a position open at window end is the last row (open=true) — explicit, never silent MtM. - summarize_r + RMetrics (refs #129): the post-run fold (NOT an in-graph node — recorders drain post-run). E[R], win-rate, profit-factor, avg win/loss R, by-trade max R-drawdown, n_open_at_end (window-end force-close). SQN / conviction terciles / net-of-cost / RunMetrics.r are iteration 2. Design adversarially hardened before implementation (12-juror refute panel; decisions on #117). Ratified implementer deviations from the plan snippet, verified by hand: - col-4 `direction` tracks the OPEN position at cycle end (window-end synthesis; names the reopened leg on a reversal), falling back to the closed trade's dir only when flat. summarize_r does not read col 4; the R-metrics are unaffected. - .named("exposure") kept on the 4 previously-unnamed Bias nodes so the auto-derived param-path stays exposure.scale (no manifest/dir-name drift) — the unnamed nodes would otherwise flip to bias.scale. - intra-doc links [`Exposure`] -> [`Bias`] in sim_broker/latch + the sample-model test pin (cosmetic, behaviour-neutral; broken intra-doc links fail cargo doc). - the E2E drives a full bootstrapped Harness (stronger than the plan's direct-node drive — exercises the real cross-crate producer->consumer seam). Deferred (behaviour-preserving, separate cosmetic pass — NOT this iteration): RunMetrics.exposure_sign_flips / Metric::ExposureSignFlips, SimBroker/LongOnly "exposure" input ports, the "exposure" tap/trace names, and the .named("exposure") instance labels. Iteration 2: the Sizer seam, the RiskExecutor composite (+ the Veto documented-seam), summarize_r enrichment, RunMetrics.r, and the CLI/recording surface. Verification (orchestrator-run, not agent-claimed): - cargo build --workspace: clean. - cargo test --workspace: all green, 0 failed (incl. the new bias/stop_rule/ position_management unit tests, the summarize_r arithmetic tests, and the stage1_r_e2e capstone + layout guard). - cargo clippy --workspace --all-targets -- -D warnings: clean (exit 0). - Keystone RED tests pass: no_lookahead_bias_exit_realises_the_held_move, stop_out_is_not_capped_at_minus_one_r, no_gap_stop_is_exactly_minus_one_r, reversal_closes_one_leg_and_reopens, open_at_window_end_is_carried_on_the_last_row. refs #117 #119 #126 #127 #129
2 lines
2.7 KiB
JSON
2 lines
2.7 KiB
JSON
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